Brendan Nyhan , Eric McGhee , John Sides , Seth Masket and Steven Greene 2010 Election One Vote out of Step ? The Effects of Salient Roll Call Votes
نویسندگان
چکیده
We investigate the relationship between controversial roll call votes and support for Democratic incumbents in the 2010 midterm elections. Consistent with previous analyses, we find that supporters of health care reform paid a significant price at the polls. We go beyond these analyses by identifying a mechanism for this apparent effect: constituents perceived incumbents who supported health care reform as more ideologically distant (in this case, more liberal), which in turn was associated with lower support for those incumbents. Our analyses show that this perceived ideological difference mediates most of the apparent impact of support for health care reform on both individual-level vote choice and aggregate-level vote share. We conclude by simulating counterfactuals that suggest health care reform may have cost Democrats their House majority.
منابع مشابه
The Effects of Salient Roll Call Votes in the 2010 Election
We investigate the relationship between controversial roll call votes and support for Democratic incumbents in the 2010 midterm elections. Consistent with previous analyses, we find that supporters of health care reform paid a significant price at the polls. We go beyond these analyses by identifying a mechanism for this apparent effect: constituents perceived incumbents who supported health ca...
متن کاملOne Vote out of Step ? The Effects of Salient Roll Call Votes in the
We investigate the relationship between controversial roll call votes and support for Democratic incumbents in the 2010 midterm elections. Consistent with previous analyses, we find that supporters of health care reform paid a significant price at the polls. We go beyond these analyses by identifying a mechanism for this apparent effect: constituents perceived incumbents who supported health ca...
متن کاملWhere You Sit is Where You Stand: The Impact of Seating Proximity on Legislative Cue-Taking∗
This article builds on Matthews and Stimson’s (1975) study of legislative cuetaking, analyzing the extent to which legislators sitting next to each other influence each others’ voting behavior. Data come from three decades of roll call votes in the California Assembly, a chamber in which each member is paired with a deskmate. By comparing deskmate pairs with nondeskmate pairs, I find that legis...
متن کاملتاثیر چرخههای انتخاباتی بر رشد هزینههای بهداشت عمومی کشورهای منتخب درحال توسعه و توسعهیافته (2010-1994)
Parties and candidates in the election campaign try to raise the community to vote for them by offering a variety of social policies. However, the public health expenditures have been raised among the candidates as one of the most important tools to attract votes. Thus, this study uses panel data to investigate whether the components of electoral cycle have affected the growth of public healt...
متن کاملAre Pacs Trying to Influence Politicians or Voters?
Political Action Committees (PACs) can aect public policies in either of two ways: altering legislators' roll-call voting behavior, or in ̄uencing election outcomes. This paper develops a dynamic model demonstrating that the relative importance of the election-in ̄uencing channel is easily underestimated. A one-time contribution to a candidate who supports the PAC's position that alters an elect...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
عنوان ژورنال:
دوره شماره
صفحات -
تاریخ انتشار 2012